Monday, June 02, 2025

Bitching about the age of Democrats

 The age of Democratic elected officials is a symptom, not the disease itself. It's a troublesome symptom, a side effect of inconvenient truths about the party itself and the psychology of American voters.

Jeet Heer in the New Republic wrote: "The party is a heterogeneous coalition of centrists and progressives that has failed to define a core goal." This is and has been a simple truth since the party shifted to the left in the 1960s, as the Republican Party became the party of business over individuals, property rights over civil rights, and truculent conservatism in general. Those are some great core goals. Their evolution has led to the current authoritarian regime.

Heer pointed out that three House Democrats have died this year, all from states that Trump won or that have a Republican governor. This implied that more youthful presence of Democrats in those states might have improved the party's standing overall, but I think it says more about the states themselves, and voter psychology. 

Representative Raul Grijalva of Arizona died at age 77, from cancer. He had represented his seat to the satisfaction of the majority of voters in his district for more than 20 years. Seventy-seven seems old when you're 35 or younger, but wait until you're in your upper 60s, still working and feeling pretty energetic, and have some respect for the value of experience. If someone has been doing an acceptable job, gets the votes, and contributes to the party's national presence, why not keep sending them? Arizona is full of old people. It takes a particularly persuasive whippersnapper to get old farts to switch their allegiance. Grijalva was a reliable Democratic seat in the House. Maybe the district is drawn to keep it that way. But if a fresh-faced newbie hops in there and makes a mess, all of those calculations fall apart.

Gerry Connolly drew ire earlier this year when the party chose him as the ranking member of the House Oversight Committee instead of Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. Then he up and died of esophageal cancer, which he knew he had. He was 75. He had been an effective legislator for more than 16 years. 

The current occupant of the Oval Office will turn 79 on June 14, and is a babbling wreck. His backers will keep pushing him along as long as they can, because he is a reliable brand for them.

Most voters hate to think. I'm with you. My life is a testimony to my lack of mental discipline. Also, when you're busy busy busy, either scraping out a living or trying to have enough fun in your time off to feel ready to go back to scraping, you don't want to dig through the dense language of policy analysis. You want someone to tell you that everything will be okay if you put them in office. Public prominence brings with it an automatic assumption of some level of competence. Look at how Joe Biden was alternately a drooling bumbler and the evil mastermind of a vast criminal conspiracy. Anyone who makes it to the top has to have done something right. Right?

Hardworking, solid, prosperous citizens who put aside the artistic dreams of youth and became corporate lawyers are just as pressed for time as dishwashers, shop clerks, and bicycle mechanics.

An analysis of Kamala Harris's loss in 2024 stated that her voters were mostly "super voters" -- people who are more attentive and engaged in politics than average voters. We spent more time reading and absorbing analysis of the threat presented by another go-round with MAGA at the helm, and did what we could to prevent it. Added to that would be habitual party voters. But her race and gender were too much even for some of the regular partisans. Those regulars who sat it out did not believe that the current regime would be bad enough to warrant setting aside their core prejudices to elect a woman, especially a non-white woman whose voice they might not like.

Democrats re-elect old farts because they keep being electable. I've dunked on electable Democrats before, but even a dead weight like Joe Manchin at least held a seat that added to the technical majority. Yes, it's a coalition party. It always will be, because it collects all of the people and sub-groups that don't move in lockstep: the true exemplars of individual freedom of thought. We are the reason that the Constitution was written and amended as it is. The lesser of two evils is still less fucking evil.

The elements gathered into the Democratic Party have been fighting to defend their lives since the 1970s. Even as the work to expand civil rights and full citizenship to women and minorities has gone on, public perception has morphed and modified under the influence of changing media and economic pressures. And public perception is the foundation of electoral politics. Facts matter, but opinions get you into office.

The young have vision. The old have experience. The old also have the memory of their younger visions, many of which might match surprisingly well to those of the young today. 

If I'm still alive at 75 or 77, I fully expect still to be working, because I was too much of a dumbass to secure a lucrative retirement package. Or maybe AI will have set up a robot army to cull out the slower members of the herd. We can be processed into any number of useful things. A lot of us out there expect still to be working if we haven't been forcibly removed by some ageist purge.

Sunday, June 01, 2025

Burdened by the bullshit of Thomas Jefferson

 "When the public fears their government, there is tyranny. When the government fears its people, there is liberty." 

Snappy, right? Punchy. Memorable. And so true. What a genius.

The first premise is true. A government that rules by fear must back it up with violence and repression. But the second part oversimplifies the relationship and validates anarchy and lawlessness in which the people end up fearing each other. Unity is lost. Democracy is lost. Faith in government is lost. The nation defaults to tyranny as the void is filled by ambitious, opportunistic leaders.

The mess we are in now is the direct result of the 1980 Reagan campaign undermining the legitimacy of government. Generations since have been trained to be contemptuous of government.

The Reagan administration was full of shit, using their anti-tax, anti-government rhetoric to round up voters disillusioned by the mistakes of the Vietnam era and constantly paranoid from decades of the Cold War. All they really wanted was to make rich people richer. And they had no strong objection to racism and homophobia as long as those sentiments continued to bring them a reliable voting base. But the main objective was always wealth concentration.

Government that served the people broadly cost too much money that the rich could spend more wisely on more real estate, and whatever gratified them personally. This includes high profile philanthropy as well as gaudy, shameful ostentation like gold toilets. The underlying premise was that rich people were the elite. They deserved all the money they could attract and were free to spend it as they wished. Their expenditures would magically create jobs and prosperity as the money dripped from their fingers with every wave of the hand.

Every young person who gets their first job learns about taxes. They sign on for X-amount per hour, and then their check is a lot smaller than the product of simple multiplication. Stuff gets taken out. Once a year, you have to take a math test to get some or all of what was withheld refunded to you. Often, they get this first job while they're still in school, perhaps struggling with math, as I did. It doesn't seem fair, especially when you learn that the more you earn, the higher percentage of your income goes to taxes. Whaaat? The more I make the more you get? Fuck you! The concept of progressive taxation takes too many words. What do you mean when you say that the businesses that generate income also burden the public and should pay for services? Huh?

Then there are the other deductions. To a young worker, Social Security seems remote. The money deducted for that doesn't get refunded the way overpaid taxes do. The return on it sits too far off to seem justifiable when you could use that money now. It's easy to believe various charlatans who assure you that you could make far more playing the market with private retirement investments. Forget volatility and untimely market corrections. Don't ask how the brokerages make their cut. You'll do great! Just keep the government off of everyone's back. The great Thomas Jefferson said that the government is supposed to fear the people. Keep them on the back foot! They're the enemy.

Bumper sticker philosophy rules public opinion. A popular one says, "Become ungovernable." This glorification of immature oppositional defiance strikes at the foundation of our constitutional system, but it sounds so damn cool. Yeah! Ungovernable! Don't tread on me! I'm a badass!

Jefferson is also credited with saying that the roots of the Tree of Liberty need to be refreshed with the blood of patriots and tyrants from time to time. This was written at a time when the meat on your plate at supper might have been walking around your farm that morning, and you might have slit its throat yourself. Human history is drenched in blood. At least the cause of liberty is a worthy use of the violent death in conflict that you might face anyway at the whim of a king or emperor. It was also written when war on a global scale was held back by the transportation and weapon technology of the time.

After World War II, the survivors of that conflict all seemed to agree that we didn't want to do that again. We've had almost constant warfare since then, but on a smaller scale. Hard to say how the score sits between the tyrants and the patriots. But we do know a lot more about post traumatic stress disorder and how to reconstruct physically maimed people. So there's that.

Regardless of the political labels, elected representatives have to deal with the details when they enact policies that will affect the entire operation of the country. They put lives at risk in the military and intelligence services. They kill or save millions inside and outside of our borders. Every two years, the voters kick the table and open the door to strong winds that blow the papers around. They base their decisions on whatever they can hold in mind about the people they're voting for and the beliefs they represent. A lot of them skip it altogether and hope for the best.

If fear is valued, fear will be cultivated. If the choice is only between a government fearing its people or a people fearing their government, we will only live in a constant climate of fear. That doesn't lead to good decisions.

Monday, May 05, 2025

Quit publicizing racist twats

 A racist twat in Rochester, Minn., recently dropped repeated n-bombs on a Black child she suspected of filching something from her bag in a city park. The boy is five years old and reportedly has special needs.

A bystander took video and confronted her. I won't link any of it because you can find it easily, and I don't want to give her any more publicity. I also omit her name, because she has raised a reported $500,000.00 so far, based on the claim that she has been doxed and fears for her safety.

First off, she has a right to say anything she wants, including racist epithets against a child, as long as she doesn't slide into criminal threatening. Representatives of the child might sue her for slander regarding the allegations of theft, but the First Amendment gives her plenty of latitude to spew ignorant garbage. This should never have become a cause celebre.

Our zeal for public shaming has begun to backfire spectacularly. A video meant to embarrass this loser instead gave her prominence to attract her fellow racists to protect a poor waif beset by threatening Black people and their terrorist white allies.

The racists and other far right adherents constantly shift between presenting themselves as badasses that you should just surrender to outright, and poor, noble victims of a legal system perverted by miscegenated Communists. They might walk around with firearms draped all over them, and talk about how they ask and grant no quarter, only to whine piteously when someone publishes their home address. What part of "no quarter" don't you get, tough guy? Total war is total war. Are you advocating for it or not?

America is basically a nation of shit-talkers. In the course of a day, how many thousands of death threats are flung back and forth in the heat of a moment and never go anywhere? In that mix, some may be credible. Most are not. In angry discourse, it's more common to oversell and under-deliver than vice versa.

Racism won't go away if you ignore it. But individual incidents of it won't turn into fundraising opportunities if you give it less air. Racists are not ashamed. Why do you think that a particular club is called Proud Boys? Putting a racist in a viral video is no longer a good strategy.

Along with hardcore racists come fashionable racists and the business interests that simply follow the money. Those business interests were into diversity when diversity seemed to be winning. Now that racism seems to be on top, business interests are okay with it. Corporations have no morals. They try to appeal to buyers with whatever seems to be attracting them at a given time. Some business interests will hold onto their support for diversity because they know that a solid percentage of consumers will choose them on that basis. Rather than compete in the more crowded arena of racist businesses, the "good guys" can depend on a loyal customer base to tide them over until things swing back to favor diversity overall. It is morally right, but also safe business.

I originally headlined this piece Nonviolence versus Violence because of reactions I read from the anti-racist community as the story about the Rochester bitch plays out. Certain Black activists called out their white supporters for a lack of resolve. Supposed supporters take down their Black Lives Matter signs and flags of support for marginalized groups. This may in fact indicate a weak will among some of those allies, but it also acknowledges a sad and frightening reality: the right wing likes to use violence and vandalism more than the left does.

The right wing cites the left's lack of violent propensities as a sign of cowardice and weakness. Paradoxically, they also accuse the left of perpetrating violence or of threatening it as an excuse for their own armament. Back in the Cold War, we did wonder whether the Soviets would outright invade us. Long before that, in the rise of Marxism in the 19th and early 20th centuries, Communists did engage in violence. They also didn't act very communistic wherever they gained power, but that's a tangent for another day.

Nonviolent protest emerged as a powerful tool in the 20th Century. However, it was only one tool. Outbreaks of actual violence in support of civil rights, for instance, showed the government that the costs of maintaining the racist status quo were higher than the costs of expanding the rights of full citizenship under the full protection of federal law. Gay rights got their big kick forward from the Stonewall riots in New York City.

Riots are battlefield actions. The combatants form ranks under their banners on a piece of ground that's publicly accessible, often completely public: streets, parks, business districts. There have been spectacularly bloody exceptions in which mobs descended on residential areas. This has most often been white forces attacking minorities individually or collectively. A handy list is provided here.

Slavery in the United States was not ended by peaceful protest. It was ended by a bloody and wasteful war between factions that conveniently lined up with geographical boundaries, allowing the South to secede and pretend to be their own country for four years. They spent those years proving that their economic system couldn't support a long-term military conflict against an industrialized power. They were not only morally wrong, they were economically inferior in an era when business competition was evolving rapidly. But they were so in love with their hateful ideology that they let thousands of their men get killed and their land was laid waste by Union forces. And afterward they merely shifted their tactics  -- still to their own detriment -- in order to maintain racial hierarchy.

Meanwhile, the rest of the country received both Black residents and racist ideologies. Exposure to both has led somewhat to acceptance of Black and brown people as a part of normal society, but also to the persistent cancer of racism. If the Civil War happened today, battles would break out all over the country. You would also find out in a hurry who really had the stomach for it.

When Timothy McVeigh bombed the Federal Building in Oklahoma City, he thought that he would trigger a revolution against the tyrannical United States government. Instead, he set the militia movement back ten years as people recoiled at the horror of his act. We had those dopes walking around our town in their little Confederate hats, and then poof! they all ditched the regalia and shut the fuck up for a while. It was nice. They probably still met in private. You can tell by the signs and flags around town today that a good chunk of them suck up conspiracy theories and far right propaganda. And the few years of relative peace were bought at the price of innocent people killed and maimed in the Oklahoma City bombing.

My point is that large scale violence is the best advertising against itself. Too bad that it does not inoculate against small scale violence.

Bad actors on the right in this area have engaged in vandalism against targets that they could identify as holding opposing views: roofing nails in driveways, political signs cut down with a chainsaw, slashed tires, broken windows, occasional arson. During one dispute in the tiny town where I live, people were advised to put a padlock on their well cover (if they hadn't already just for general prudence) so that someone on the other side of the dispute didn't drop something unpleasant in there.

Whether to display symbols of a political position calls for a cost-benefit analysis. How many people will be swayed toward your point of view compared to the odds that some destructive, hateful chud will damage or destroy something you depend on, like your car or your house or an outbuilding containing tools you use?

The same Black activist noted that racism always attracts more funding than anti racism does. Anti-racist endeavors depend on mostly small donors. As a small donor myself, I can tell you that I view the many problems that our species faces as interlocked. Racists and destroyers have the benefit of their simple minds to help them focus their contributions on the narrow front pushed hard by their narrow minds. Saving things is much more complicated and delicate than destroying them. Because I tried to be content with a frighteningly modest income, I don't have the money to toss monthly donations totaling a couple of hundred dollars once I have paid my routine expenses and set aside some for non-routine expenses. Before I put a target on myself, I ask what my sacrifice will do to advance the greater good.

Once violence breaks out, it shapes reality to itself. The conflict becomes more important than the stakes in it. Combatants fight for their lives. We talk of the sacrifice of heroes who fall in battle, but that's a very different act from the human sacrifice celebrated by Christian churches, in which their pure messiah was executed just for being too darn good.

In either case, the gruesome deaths don't have a lasting good effect. One dead on a cross in 33 CE and millions dead by 1945, and yet here we are. Thousands obliterated in the 1860s just so some racist twat can raise a half a million dollars on the n-word and speculation that she might receive pizzas she didn't order on a few nights in 2025. I don't know what -- if anything -- will smarten up the racist dipshits. It's reached the point of unreasoning hatred, so no reasoned discourse will sway them. The death toll of racists is in the millions just since the 1860s, and yet there are still millions of them, so you won't "kill the problem out," as violent right wingers like to say.

Should the racists manage to rule the world, they will discover that they cannot make it into their utopia any more than we progressive dreamers could. Maybe the technofascists will achieve their fantasy of entirely automated labor serving a handful of actual humans living in luxury. In that case, the vast majority of people will have died out. It seems like a long term goal at best, except for the part where most humans die out. That part is too easy to achieve.

I can see it: Jesus comes back in about 2075.

"Hey, I'm back! Hey! Where did everybody go?" And then some AI planetary defense system vaporizes him.

In the meantime, we're alive now. How nice or not nice we make it is up to us. One more war or era of bloody skirmishes won't fix a goddamned thing.

Jumping off a cliff won't hurt you

 It's the landing.

Experts and concerned citizens have been warning us for years about the threats presented by the right wing elements currently in complete control of the federal government and many states. They described the dire consequences well in advance, attempting to sway voters after the 2020 election to keep up the pressure to hold back the MAGA faction and their allies and backers. They have failed at every step. Voters gave the House of Representatives to the Republicans in 2022 and the whole shootin' match to them in 2024.

Now that the Trump regime is energetically demolishing many decades of progress, we're starting to feel some consequences, but nothing like the devastation we were told to prepare for.

No one wants to see store shelves bare and businesses closing. No one wants to be part of massive layoffs. Not everyone wants a white ethno-state. Nor does everyone want to see women relegated to dependent, subservient status. I will venture that a minority of people want to see more dangerous workplaces, rising pollution, loss of cropland, privatization of national parks and other pubic lands, and unregulated drilling, mining, and transportation of resources through communities that happen to be in the way. But none of that has happened yet. Or not much. If you happen to live where lots of federal workers haven't suddenly lost their jobs, or where farmers have suddenly lost contracts they were counting on, maybe life seems pretty normal.

We're in midair right now. Feeling weightless, enjoying the view...

It's over in seconds.

Saturday, May 03, 2025

What "Made in America" means

 Goods made in the foreign countries selected by Corporate America when they shipped the jobs off to maximize their profits are produced by low-paid labor, often in unsafe conditions. Sort of like the way factory workers were treated in this country in the Gilded Age, before unionization and health and environmental concerns delivered a one-two punch to corporate corner cutting.

Low priced consumer goods depend on exploited labor. In the countries where the factories are, the labor might feel well compensated for now, but if they get a taste of better and better living conditions they might upset the equation. In the meantime, anyone operating an industrial facility in the United States has to pay more for personnel, even if they don't pay particularly well by US standards. 

It's easy to say that you would gladly pay more for a US made item instead of one from China, until you start doing all the math and figure out how little you could afford. And it won't necessarily be made with better materials and workmanship. So you'll be paying more to get something that is only as good as you were getting from overseas. Meanwhile, the workers will face constant pressure from management to produce more for less. At the same time management will be fighting with regulators to ease up on pollution and safety standards.

Look at automobiles: You shell out five figures for even a dinky one, and with the best of care it starts letting you down within 3-5 years. We're talking about cars made in America. Consumer goods manufacturing is designed to make you buy things. It doesn't matter where the factory is. The calculation is the same.

We're awash in consumer goods: Televisions, computers, mobile phones, kitchen and household appliances, clothing... some stuff is produced here. Most is not. If companies tried to move the volume of production here that feeds our level of consumption, it would not only drive the prices of everything way up to cover the costs of establishing that infrastructure, it would require more land area than industry previously occupied at the height of domestic productivity. There are many more consumers now.

On the plus side, consumers now have less money to blow than in the latter part of the 20th Century, so they have less ability to gorge on the output of consumer goods manufacturing.

Economy is tricky. For all of the bullshit about "wealth creation," we're working with a finite planet. In nature, good times for any species are generally followed by a population collapse. The exception might be cockroaches. They seem to be able to thrive no matter what. When times are good, they eat the best garbage. When times are tough, they eat their own dead, and cast-off exoskeletons. As humans, we're more like the predators whose numbers boom when their prey proliferates. Those predators die off after they have eaten their prey population down to its low point. In the case of humans, we're preying not only on animals that we eat, but on each other, metaphorically, in economic competition.

Big companies don't really care where the factories are, as long as the numbers work in their favor. Since we have exalted obscene wealth as the ultimate marker of success, corporate leadership is only concerned with paying as little as possible to achieve whatever their business model calls productivity. Productivity only means how much money gets sucked in and funneled to the top.

Tuesday, April 29, 2025

What's wrong with these judges?

 The right wing beef with judges makes perfect sense. It's interwoven with their misogyny and the myth of the rugged individual. It reflects their presumed virtue.

All the way up to the US Supreme Court, the only judges they like are the ones who act as servants to the ideology that has been building steadily to the current crisis. Since that ideology promotes centralized rule by a few, the judiciary is expected to be subordinate rather than equal.

The power players sell it to their base by tapping into how many of their voters -- mostly men -- have had bad experiences on the wrong side of a court judgment, whether it's domestic violence restraining orders, divorce settlements, or criminal activity of some sort. When your brand centers violence as an expression of strength, you're going to attract people who have a record of it.

All the way back to Dirty Harry and to popular written fiction for decades before that, audiences have liked characters who express their lawfulness with direct action, cutting out the cumbersome, and often disappointing, legal process of prosecution and sentencing. In fiction, the writer can establish certainty in the reader or viewer, that the bad person is a bad person, and that the good guy is fully justified. We're free to enjoy the plot as the game plays out between these adversaries. When the bad guy gets it, the audience feels jubilant.

The hero can be a deeply flawed and unhappy character. That only makes them more sympathetic. As long as they represent the frustration that we all feel when bad guys get away with their crimes and the system seems to let them slip away, we'll forgive their rough edges. They might even have marital problems or other relatable qualities that make their extrajudicial activities more satisfying as they operate outside of the suffocating constraints of red tape and procedure.

At the elite level, where billionaires buy the government that feeds their wealth at the expense of the majority of the rest of us, they're happy to undercut the power of courts. White collar criminals are still criminals. Most of them never see the inside of a cell, but pesky fines and liability settlements drain money that could be spent on bigger yachts, private space programs, and a stunning mansion on top of El Capitan, once Yosemite is privatized and sold off for development.

As frustrating as the judicial system can be, the basis of it is sound. No human system can be made immune to human frailties. Those have to be addressed by general philosophical arguments that guide our thinking overall. We’ve been at it for thousands of years. We could have consensus any day now. In the meantime, we need to shore up the structure that we have.

The task of our government is to reconcile the desires of the majority of the electorate with the rights and needs of individuals and an expertly advised assessment of the public good. Piece of cake!

Sunday, April 27, 2025

America, the Petri dish

 Freedom's just another word for evolution unchained.

I believe that the signers of the Declaration of Independence and the framers of the U.S. Constitution believed that they were establishing a rational government model based on logic, to be operated by thoughtful people. Don't all people yearn to be free to learn and grow to the fullest extent of their potential? 

As it happens, no. While the letter of the law allows a person to read whatever they want, and public schools are widely available, nothing compels you to get any more out of this than to remain in some kind of tenuous contact with it up to your late teens. You can go to the schools in your district or you can homeschool. No matter what, you have the right to remain as much of a dumbass as you can get away with.

I say this as a career dumbass. I try to be a reformed dumbass, but I wasted lots of educational opportunities back when it would have done some good, just so you know I'm not kicking down. If I had a time machine, I would spend countless trips going back to smack my stupid self upside the head.

As the United States cuts itself off from the rest of the world, we become a Petri dish of uncontrolled conflict between governing ideas. These range from pure libertarian anarchy to hard-core right wing authoritarianism. There's a hard core left wing as well. It has the least traction, but it does exist. True commies are rare in this country, despite the accusations that fly around social media. Most humans are too selfish for true communism. Anything less than true communism, if you lean that way, tuns into Animal Farm pretty quickly. Witness the Soviet Union, et al.

The United States always was the Petri dish of governmental experimentation. We had our Articles of Confederation, then our Constitution, then our amendments to that document through the years. Between 1776 and the closing of the frontier in 1890, settlers messed around with all kinds of variations in the lands that they entered on the way to a coast to coast nation. Enclaves remain today in places like Amish country and other religious communities, or even whole states heavily identified with a particular religious sect. Pretty much just Utah. Aside from religion there are lots of places ranging from quaintly eccentric to probably evil.

In addition to geographical areas prone to various belief systems, we have national and international belief systems allowed to grow out of control here because our Constitution does not restrict freedom of thought and expression. It's a laudable ideal and a perfect breeding ground for whackadoodlery. Whackadoodlery only begins to encompass how bad it can get when dumbassery combines with imagination and fragmentary knowledge unimpeded by critical thought. It's also a rewarding hunting ground for intellectual predators who might or might not believe their own shit. They'll use varying degrees of technical-sounding language and immense personal confidence to collect financial and social power that eventually leads to political leverage.

The educated men who wrote the founding documents for this country and critical commentary that went with or against it operated under the highest intellectual standards of their day. Time, collective experience, and study have revealed where they were wrong, but they acted under sincere belief at the time. The slave owners sincerely believed that the people they enslaved were on average completely inferior to the white people who owned them. Even some abolitionists held racist beliefs. They just thought that slavery was cruel and economically a bad idea. People used to believe in all kinds of dumb stuff like phrenology, and much more. Much of it served to validate their emotional prejudices, but it was based on observations and attempts to identify meaningful patterns in the world around them.

Other countries observed our evolution. Some were inspired. Some were contemptuous. Every nation works its angles in the world in times of peace and war. The United States managed to turn itself into a superpower by the end of the Second World War. We were a military powerhouse that rapidly established itself as a scientific powerhouse. We produced the largest generation of surviving children in human history, and gave them a country to play in that had the highest standard of living in the world. It helped that a lot of the rest of the world had been devastated by the recent war. The width of oceans had protected us from the direct effects of shelling and bombing one last time.

We have no such protection now. We had only our military might and enviable intellectual freedom to make the rest of the world hesitant to launch missiles at us. Now we have neither. We do have an arsenal and military forces, but they will degrade rapidly under the unqualified and insane leadership voted in by dumbasses.

Hitler had some top notch military minds working for his Reich. He was not one of them.  He had been a friggin' corporal. His delusions led to poor decisions that doomed his desire for conquest. Now, today, the United States has equally incompetent people in the presidency and every major cabinet post. There are no highly competent minds to run the country efficiently with a solid goal in mind. Instead we have a coalition of destructive interests at odds with each other as much as with the ideals of the American experiment. Each one pursues its narrow goal, whether it's Christian theocracy, technological dictatorship focused on strip mining the planet, or nihilistic greed focused on strip mining the planet in different ways for mere cash.

It's a literal confederacy of dunces. It was voted in by a bloc of ignorant and greedy people steeped in a cult of individualism brewed in a melting pot of the dregs of free thought. The stupidest ideas of the past century and a half, including a whole lot added since the middle of the 20th Century, are now the guiding principles of the occupying regime with its fists firmly clenched on the levers of power. They're cutting the brake lines and yanking out the control wires wherever they can. All the while they believe that they're making a formidable machine of war and commerce that will take American dominance from its already high level to a pinnacle of untouchability.

What a crock of utter bullshit. With their sledgehammers, torches, and software, they're destroying all of the prestige and power that the country already held, and digging a hole to drop the remains into. Some of them may know it, since culling the population (remember "death panels?" lol) is a major objective. Yes, they want to increase the birth rate of obedient white people who think that they're free, but they also want poor people, sick people, and old people to die. They want brown people to die. They have a truly impossible dream that they will somehow make the USA completely self sufficient and prosperous at the same time. It's the national version of the myth of the rugged individual. We all be rugged individuals, in a rugged individual country that can kick your ass. You can only come into our clubhouse if we invite you. We hate girls and queers and nigras. We're manly men and real women love us.

Most of the rest of the world is rightly appalled. They're pulling back, watching to see how it plays out. When the United States was just a young little country, European powers looked down on the yokels over here. We had to earn respect. With the current regime, all of that is being squandered. We'll soon be back to our image as a nation of buffoons and yokels, unless we can generate a new wave of self respect in our population.

Self respect is not the same thing as self indulgence or self adulation. As a person or as a nation, you have to keep bringing the quality to maintain true respectability. You can't just coast on collective myths and stale achievements. The people who achieved those things are dead. A lot of the stories were made up crap to justify some reprehensible national policies. Learn history. Face the truth. Realize that our fundamental governing documents provide the framework to do better, now and henceforth. Self respect is not purely self serving. It's the basis by which you recognize that you depend on the society that you support and trade with.

A lot of the people who voted for the regime have job skills. They clearly had enough disposable income to take time off to be in truck convoys, and storm the Capitol, as well as buy tons of crappy merch from the Grifter-in-Chief. They have services and products that appeal to the economy. They're also sure that they're onto the sinister plans of whatever enemy has been presented to their cultivated paranoia. The United Nations, the worldwide Jewish conspiracy, the Deep State, the gay agenda, lazy Black folks, socialist hippies, those sneaky trans people, all skulk around them, just out of sight.

The Internet doesn't help. Snappy sayings that actually support bad conclusions have always been a problem for humans, but now they can flash around the world at the speed of light.  I saw one that said, "History is written by people who weren't there." Sounds like a sick burn, doesn't it? It even has a germ of truth in that you can find history books that simply rehash other history books. But you can also find history books based on primary sources -- people who were there -- that overturn long-held myths that generations of people believed were historical facts. This is particularly true of the history of slavery in this country, and of the accomplishments of marginalized people. People who were there chose to tell the story differently to make themselves look better. It took later historians to dig down through the layers to disclose what really happened.

Our view of history changes over time anyway. People with a vested interest in the previously accepted story will fight against changes. Our view of everything changes with further study and reflection. Every generation is born into an argument already in progress. Every faction in the dispute tries to recruit the new people. The young have no experience to help them sort through what's thrown at them. Some learn faster than others. This is a human condition, not just an American one. Eager to figure it out, new minds pick up the flotsam and debris as well as the more carefully researched information.

By equating all sources, our freedom of speech and expression puts all variables onto an equal footing in charting our national course. Everything gets voted on, including whether we will die of formerly treatable and preventable diseases, whether we will stop wasting money on food safety, whether we will destroy what's left of the natural environment, whether we will have a race war, and whether we want our entire government run by incompetent attention whores. The world is watching.

Sunday, April 20, 2025

Easter thoughts

 I got an email from my local hardware store the other day, informing me that they would be closed this Sunday for Easter. The funny thought struck me then that the whole holiday is based on the idea that Jesus got up and went back to work that morning after a pretty rough weekend. Now get back in there and sell me some grass seed and deck stain!

Christian societies have had a conflicted relationship with the sabbath for a long time, especially in the United States, a country founded on commerce even before it was a country. Each colony was a profit-seeking venture. Communities of conscience just provided the recruits willing to undertake the danger and hardship of the perilous ocean voyage and carving out a foothold, for the sake of a place where they could have a dominant role in governance. Religious freedom indeed. But your backers expect more than thoughts and prayers.

I've been out of the church scene for decades, but the logic of Jesus as I understood it then was that we would all do better if we looked out for each other rather than doing the work of tyrants or aspiring in even a small way to be one. This does lead to a world without concentrated wealth, but also without poverty.

At its most extreme, sabbath observance restricts virtually everything that we've come to associate with weekends. Work, play, travel, commerce, toil of nearly any kind must halt. That would include your Easter egg hunt, and a whole lot of the food preparation for Easter dinner. You'd have to rely on the labor of unbelievers, exploiting that they are damned by their unbelief. "Sucks to be you! But this lamb is cooked to perfection!"

Fortunately, we in America have embraced Sabbath Lite. By the words of the Constitution, you are free to express whatever faith you have in whatever way suits you. Just once in a while will you run into an interruption of the seven-day retail and recreation week. The term "business day" refers to specific types of business. You face little stigma for doing whatever you want on weekends, because those days are your allotted little share of your precious life, ceded back to you by the lords of the economy.

Sabbath breaking feeds the economy. And it erodes righteousness no more than sitting on your hands for a day would have done. You get the same choices that you would have on any other day about how to treat the people you deal with.

A scheduled sabbath gathering does create an opportunity for regular accountability to the community. Tying it to your specific religion limits that community, however, and might weaken the bonds overall to the larger secular community that provides the real engine of your economy and the legal framework that -- theoretically -- protects you.

"Might" weaken. Look at how the church is pitted against itself right now, between the "open and accepting" congregations and the Christian nationalist theocrats. Quick now: how many protestant denominations can you name in 30 seconds? And that's long after the split between eastern and western Catholicism. Christians have been arguing about the true nature and word of their headliner since about a week after he disappeared from every place in the mortal world except for the occasional miraculous piece of toast, or scam Shroud.

My own family embraced an easygoing philosophy toward other faiths: "One God, many names." It's an easy out if you want to go to a certain church but don't want to get sucked into a holy war. Other faiths of all sorts have their own adherents to the idea that we can all tie our values to a superior or supreme entity if that helps, praying in a familiar language. This attitude drives the fundamentalists cross-eyed with rage.

"One true faith! One true faith! One true faith!" There can be only one. The all-powerful deity needs propitiating, dammit. Now get in here and propitiate exactly as we taught you.

Hard core attitudes like that grow naturally from the exclusionary nature of source texts. If you saturate yourself with one brand of righteousness, it can't help but repel the concept that someone else might be okay too. Maybe you don't make direct war on them, but you know that you won't be seeing them in the Great Beyond. Go a little deeper and you can't associate with them at all. A little deeper yet and you can't even countenance their existence.

I can't tell you how to interpret Easter for yourself. Not even going to try. In most ways it is a day like any other. There is war, sickness, atrocity, suffering, privation, and injustice all unremedied. Nearly every problem is created by humans devaluing other humans. The will to stop it can never come from outside. It's a personal choice.

Tuesday, April 15, 2025

FAFO, Supreme Court edition

 Not much to say here, really.  With the Trump administration's defiance of a unanimous Supreme Court ruling that the administration must return Kilmar Abrego Garcia from El Salvador immediately, they have demonstrated that the ruling in Trump v. United States last July has made every other branch of government subordinate to the executive.

The Supreme Court made itself irrelevant that day. Everyone but them saw it. Well, the dissenters on the court saw it, but the right wing majority, drunk with power, planted the flag of the unitary executive and saluted. What they hell did they think would happen?

Maybe they thought that Trump wouldn't win the election. Maybe they just wanted to prepare the ground for a better right wing authoritarian to follow. They could be confident that a Democratic president wouldn't take advantage of the newly granted immunity.

The current composition of the Democratic Party doesn't favor strongman government. Their commitment to diversity is one of the things that makes their efforts so fragmented. They can't keep their coalition members playing nicely together long enough to win more than one election out of a dozen, it seems. Well, maybe a half-dozen. I don't have time at the moment to run the numbers. But you know what I mean. The party has attracted a few firebrands, but they strive against some well established wet blankets. And some of the firebrands, particularly before the 2024 election, seemed bent on burning down their own house over fine ideological points that would not be served by undermining efforts to prevent another Trump presidency.

It's up to the voters now. Voters have to choose solidarity with each other, democracy over dictatorship, in such overwhelming numbers that challenges will crumble under the obvious weight of the public's choice. So we're probably screwed, but I just want to put it out there. We do have the opportunity, early and often before the next election, and resoundingly in it, to make it obvious that the mass of us rejects the cruel efficiency of a government run like a business. That business turns out to be a meat packing plant processing us.

The Supreme Court may not be able to reclaim its power. But Congress can still impeach, the Senate can convict, and the president thus deposed can face criminal charges. At the very least he (or she in some theoretical future) can be barred from holding office in any capacity after that. And if they could overturn Roe v. Wade they can certainly overturn Trump v. United States once a case is brought to them.

Trump v. United States turns out to have been the most apt title ever. He is the foremost agent of the destruction of the United States, put in place by long term enemies both foreign and domestic.

Monday, April 14, 2025

Are you ready to disappear?

 With the abduction of Kilmar Armando Abrego Garcia at the top of the news right now because the two potentates of their respective domains assert that neither of them has the power to return him to his home, it might be a good time to review your own preparations for whoever will be left behind if you suddenly disappear into a foreign prison. Are your affairs in order? Your loved ones and pets ready to get along without you?

Trump was caught on a hot mic telling President Bukele of El Salvador that he intends to send "home grown" prisoners to the care and custody of whoever is in charge down there. In other words, US citizens need to be ready to take a one-way trip. I guess he was just telling Bukele as a courtesy, since that poor guy apparently has no control over what happens once the door slams behind them.

So... are you ready in case you somehow manage to catch the attention of the secret police and get snatched off the street or dragged from your house? Better sleep in your clothes if you don't want to take a 6- or 8-hour flight in your pajamas, or underwear.

This sounds crazy to all you fine, upstanding citizens who have the good sense to keep your heads down and your mouths shut while the easier targets get picked off. Look at Russia: guys like Alexei Navalny get imprisoned and killed. Regular citizens just have to get by and avoid getting drafted as cannon fodder in Ukraine. You'll learn to mind your mouth and write nothing down and avoid eye contact with the cops and trust no one. Those are the keys to freedom.

"If you haven't done anything wrong, you don't have anything to worry about." Yeah, but who decides if you've done wrong? Imagine living every moment of your life as if you're driving in front of a cop along a stretch where the speed limit keeps changing and the yellow lights last about a tenth of a second. Only the consequences are potentially much worse than a traffic stop.

Rural folks probably think that low population density and local knowledge will protect them. Maybe. Unless your local sheriff bought into the regime's philosophy, and maybe agreed to cooperate with the national authorities. An overbearing government has plenty of ways to bring pressure on you by declaring activities of self sufficiency illegal. Sure, laws are only as good as enforcement, but if enough things are illegal they have ample probable cause to poke into your business.

Are you going to arm yourself and put up a fight? The regime has laid the groundwork to pit you against the armed forces. While it's true that the American military has a poor record against unconventional warfare, they have a lot of napalm, and worse things, to keep you too distracted to raise your food crops. Agent Orange, anyone? Perhaps when fighting on their own soil, US forces will be much more effective against the guerillas, because no one will be supplying the insurrection from a neighboring country that the US doesn't want to piss off.

You've got one more chance -- maybe -- to end this before it blossoms fully into a police state. Malcontents gripe that it's been one for years, but they ain't seen nothing. Yeah, there's been surveillance of dissidents, and selective enforcement, and targeting of activists. It has been bad and wrong. But up until now they haven't outright disappeared US citizens and legal residents the way they're fixing to.

Most people don't think about the phrase "due process" except as something they talk about in cop shows. Or if you've had your own brush with the law you might have direct experience. For a lot of us it sounds made up. We don't know what the process is, so we don't know how much we should care. "I'm a good person. I'll never have to worry about this."

Well, now you don't have to worry at all. Because law enforcement isn't going to worry about it either.

As always, the erosion of liberties will begin with outsiders: immigrants, refugees, criminals. You know, lowlife. People you probably don't want around you. They had it comin'. Believe me that once you write off anyone you have created a movable line. And now that incarceration is an industry, the government has little incentive to avoid relinquishing anyone to the prison system. The prisons, for their part, have every incentive to provide as little as possible for the inmates, to maximize profits for shareholders.

I suppose you could look way down the road to when no one is left to pay taxes, so the prison no longer has a revenue stream. I'd look out of the cell block to see where the excavators are digging mass graves at that point. When all we represent to each other is a source of money we can squeeze out, who needs you around once you're drained?

We have a long way to go to get to that point. But this regime has already started the trip.

Deus f*ckin' Vult

 Insecure man and evangelical preacher Joel Webbon recently tweeted (X-ed?) that "Young men are waking up. Women will learn to have a quiet and gentle spirit, or they will learn to be alone." And then he caps it off with a favorite incantation of Christian Nationalists, "Deus Vult."

Our hard-drinking, unqualified Secretary of Defense has the same phrase tattooed on his arm.

Nothing classes up your gang of misogynist punks like a punchy slogan in Latin. It sounds really tough. You can sort of puke up that word "vult." Spit it in some liberal's face. "Uh oh! Take cover! They got Latin!"

It's just another way of saying, "inshallah." Or maybe, "mashallah." Crusader versus Muslim, more god-on-god violence in a clash between religions of peace.

The fundamentalists on either side of that pairing, and numerous other religions, are notoriously incapable of handling free women making their own choices, living as fully adult citizens.

I have the impression that a lot of women are quite willing to choose the "alone" option in the face of even less coercive philosophies than fundamentalist Christianity. And who can blame them?

Young men who follow the teachings of weak men are not waking up to anything. They're just surrendering to the natural insecurity common to all young men. The saying that "Men are afraid women will laugh at them. Women are afraid men will kill them" is based on very real observations over generations.

Men are not just performing for women. They are performing more for other men than for women. We're talking about cis hetero men now. That's all that the evangelical crowd will admit to being, and is the basis for their public judgment of the behavior of others. Manliness is expressed through power and control.

Just as slave owners attempted to convince the enslaved that they belonged in their inferior status, so too does sexism attempt to convince women to give up and let the man decide. As a competitive strategy, it makes sense. Why compete against a large field for whatever status you crave when you can persuade a bunch of them to forfeit without even trying?

Women have options. The religious right hates that, and is doing everything it can to eliminate those options.

I can understand why a woman would want to forgo the option of independence. Adulthood is scary. Women have had the shelter of a dependent relationship without the social stigma that would attach to a fearful young man who didn't want to face life as the master of his own destiny. But apparently some women felt enough shame and insecurity about that to oppose feminism for as long as there has been feminism. The stay-at-home wives and mothers want their role to be unchallenged. Don't make them look bad by achieving things. They have a strong ally in the religious right.

The problem with good old fashioned subjugation of women is that not every woman is going to find a lord and protector. What happens to the spare women that no one has wanted? If there is only one measure of womanhood, and that is marriage, the unclaimed brides can all go do what? Drown themselves?

Monotheism breeds simple minds. Atheists will go one step further and say that theism breeds simple minds. There's something to that, but we are so many generations away from giving up the belief in things unseen that we have to figure out how to get along in the meantime. Don't let the religious folks get too riled up into an apocalyptic frenzy. Don't let them make the laws. We can't stop them from talking shit to vulnerable young people, but we can prevent them from enacting drastic official legal penalties for behavior that doesn't adhere to their scriptures.

We have a problem with superstition in this country. People who do not attend an evangelical church, or maybe any church, continue to be swayed by moralistic-sounding arguments from authoritarian religious figures. It's Pascal's stupid wager, made by people who don't even know what that is. They enact it because they're not interested in a life ruled by religion but they're not sure enough that they can disregard it to shore up the wall between church and state.

At the risk of sounding like a libertarian here, we have to get back to celebrating the increasing freedom of individuals. We cannot extend unlimited liberty to groups who only feel fulfilled by taking away the liberty of others. Individual freedom does not transfer to organizations and associations that those individuals may join.

In defense of government, no one can have completely unlimited liberty. Participation in a civilized country has to include some firm elements of a social contract. We debate these constantly, as we should. But we can't let a mania for liberty lead to chaos and destruction any more than we let a mania for authoritarianism do it. Government has a role to protect and serve. Citizens have a role to guide those decisions. Not every government function constitutes oppression, but oppression is constantly trying to take over government functions. It's making a damn good try right now.

Sunday, April 13, 2025

Transgender athletes and the religion of sport

 People whose bodies don't match their inner identity confuse the hell out of people who are fortunate enough -- or limited enough -- not to experience such a fundamental inconvenience. The spectrum of acceptance varies from absolute rejection of the concept to full embrace and acknowledgement, with a substantial proportion in the "yes, but" category. Conditional acceptance often comes down to sports.

Sport is held up as the ultimate pure contest of strength and skill and whatever methods of cheating haven't been detected yet. The winner is the winner because they were the best at managing all aspects of this. Thus, competitors need to be on as equal a basis as possible at the outset, to fairly prove which one is the best.

Gender has played a role in the modern era for as long as I can remember. In the 1960s through the '80s, we would hear about Soviet women athletes whose gender ID was suspect. We swam in a sea of anti-communist propaganda at the time, but you could see that some of their competitors looked suspiciously bulked up. At the time, it was presented as artificially induced rather than full gender substitution, but the qualities that conferred the advantage were considered "male."

Women who crossed sports barriers to perform surprisingly well against men threatened the masculine pride of insecure men. They inspired women striving for equal rights and respect outside of conventional subservient roles. They achieved high rankings in their own competitions. Things remained compartmentalized.

As the concept of transgenderism became more prominent, the people who transitioned male to female mostly did not infringe on the sacred ground of sport. Aside from tennis player Renee Richards, it just didn't happen to happen, at least not that the public heard about. Now it's all the rage. Or so it seems.

Opponents of transgender people in general latch onto the sports issue because they know it's an easy sell to a general public who mostly doesn't want to think about transgenderism at all. People who might be sympathetic to some theoretical person who transitions, or who might know one personally and haven't rejected them outright for being just too weird, dig their heels in when it comes to athletics, because boys are automatically more strong and dangerous than girls. That makes up a huge percentage of the "yes, but" category. A boy in a dress is still a boy, right?

Most sports sort competitors by age and gender. I don't know about a lot of them, but having competed in bike racing and fencing I know that in a mixed field of riders, for instance, the women would blend with the men. And in fencing, when we held mixed open tournaments, women would likewise defeat male competitors. We didn't have a lot of those tournaments, and I don't remember if men consistently won overall, but I do remember that you had to fence every bout with no assumptions about your superiority. In the artificial world of pretending to stab each other to death, male or female anatomy didn't automatically convey super powers or their opposite. Overconfidence was pretty universally deadly.

So far, this just applies to cis women competing against cis men and taking what they get without complaint. But when a person identified as male at birth decides to surrender as much of that advantage as medical intervention strips away by transitioning, they become unclassifiable. Competing in a mixed field, they just end up where they end up. If it's a top place and they just beat out a cis female competitor, she might protest, but if it's just a mid-field showing it doesn't seem like a huge issue. But in a pure female category, most of us can't say with confidence how much advantage a formerly male body conveys. We depend on our experts to tell us.

Because trans athletes are so rare, there have been few detailed studies of their relative performance before and after transition. Age alone makes a huge difference, so we would need years of data about thousands of people, cis and trans, to determine what the average change might be, and where the extremes are.

It only matters because we place such significance on our games. As a lifelong athlete who wasn't much of an athlete I can tell you that a lot of factors go into success or failure. At my best, I was far below the top in the sports I pursued in my haphazard way. I decided to direct my energy to practical purposes like bike commuting, and less overtly competitive activities like hiking. Gender identity doesn't matter at all to me in those arenas. Or anywhere else, for that matter. I don't follow sports. But it does matter, a lot, in the way that it influences people's political decisions.

The other angle that opponents use to target transgender participation in athletics connects to their fixation with bathrooms. What do we do about trans female athletes getting naked with "normal" women and girls? 

Just growing up in what was considered normal circumstances in the 1960s and '70s, I was no fan of locker rooms in general. I don't know how much ogling other people did in there. I do know that you're going to see things and show things whether you want to or not. But how much of a person's comfort or discomfort around other people's nudity is externally induced? How much are we taught to feel awkward before we ever encounter it in real life?

Sexual feelings are complicated. The locker room concept either predates this awareness or accepts that anyone in there is likely to feel things, get ideas, and perhaps make arrangements to explore them. That could be equally true about your precious girls discovering that they really enjoy seeing each other naked in the purely segregated and strictly protected changing room. Same goes for your manly young men admiring each other's physique in their own male-only domain. And no one seems to speak up about the trans male in the boy's locker room. No one seems to make a public spectacle of statistics about trans male competitors kicking ass against "normal" opponents.

Most of the time, the opponents of transgender recognition and acceptance present it as a perversion, a subterfuge by which a scheming dude gets to look at naked girls or women. How far would such a person go to gain this access? Hormone replacement therapy? Lose muscle mass? Grow breasts? If you want to get with the ladies, just try good personal hygiene and a pleasant personality.

The creators of the pervert poser character say that this infiltrator of women's protected spaces only needs to declare intent and make minor changes to qualify for a pass. Grow long hair, move a little swishy, wear women's clothing... but if the intent is heterosexual gratification of some kind, the deception will fall apart sooner or later. The perv can't collect the payoff by remaining in character. That perv is not a true transgender female. If the goal is sexual assault, there are many other, easier places to commit that, as the number of sexual assaults will attest.

Wednesday, April 09, 2025

We are now living in prison

 We are living in prison. This thought struck me as I watched a video by a German immigrant to this country, regarding the recent travel advisories that Germany and some other countries have issued to their citizens who might be planning to travel to the United States.

So far, it's a minimum security prison for most of us, but law enforcement is steadily becoming more strict, especially regarding travel and border crossing. It's focused on foreign visitors, legal permanent residents, and naturalized citizens at this point. It's focused on brown people with tattoos. But perfectly Aryan-looking actual Germans, and innocuous-looking British citizens have been slapped into detention over issues that seem -- as reported to the public -- like things that could have been resolved far less drastically.

 Canadian actress Jasmine Mooney was detained for two weeks. Fabian Schmidt, a green card holder from Germany, was detained back in March when he arrived at Logan Airport on his way home from a trip to Luxembourg and is still being held. And, of course, Kilmar Abrego Garcia was snatched up in that collection of supposed Venezuelan gang members who were sent to prison in El Salvador. He has no criminal record, although he was contesting potential deportation proceedings resulting from an informant claiming that  he was a gang member back in 2019. The regime has said that his rendition was "an administrative error," but they can't undo it. 

Can't undo it? We're supposed to be the most powerful, respected nation on earth according to the current occupant of the Oval Office and his band of braying sycophants, but we can't call back one prisoner from a small country with whom we merely contract to outsource our cruel and inhumane punishment? 

Even traveling domestically, immigrants, legal permanent residents, and visitors on various visas need to carry portfolios of documentation, and even that may not be enough. Ultimately, the decision to deny entry or detain one of them lies with the individual agent with whom they are dealing. And once in the system it's terrifyingly difficult to get out, because our aspiring totalitarians ignore due process.

Kids are being snatched from schools. Workplaces are being raided. Kristi Noem has a different outfit every day to play Gestapo Barbie.

Airport security presents the highest risk because air passengers still receive the most scrutiny in the years following 9-11-2001. This means that Homeland Security gets a gander at you even if you aren't flying out of the country. If an agent decides that you look unsavory, you get special attention. Maybe you disappear.

Germans and Canadians and British people look like plain white folks. Authoritarian regimes are paranoid. In addition to the broad categories of public enemy that they might appoint (Jews, Roma, homosexuals, gang members, terrorists, trans people...) they will have private and specific enemies from within their own social classes: rival politicians, journalists, academics, business leaders who don't pay tribute... And they'll find ways to kick down at community organizers and the working class in general.

What we're seeing now is the beginning of general travel restrictions and the specter of abduction into a prison system run by officials who interpret the law at their whim. You could be anyone. If a front-line agent or cooperating police officer says that you look like a threat under one of their categories, you will disappear. The press release about it will make you sound suspicious. Think about it: you can describe anyone in a way that makes them seem weird and creepy. It's really hard to bring receipts to disprove any and all allegations.

As with anything: air crashes, massive highway pileups, and countless other genuine possibilities for catastrophe, the odds are in your favor, and thousands of people arrive at their destinations every day, no worse for wear than perhaps rumpled and sweaty. But it's worth paying attention to the fact that the current level of scrutiny at all points of entry and exit is beginning to corral us. 

The policies that subtly discourage travel form an interesting counterpart to the policies that discourage voting. Under the guise of "election security," laws are being enacted in state after state to require ridiculous levels of voter identification. At the national level, HR 22 in the House of Representatives amends the National Voter Registration Act of 1993 to require such elaborate proof of citizenship that women who took their husbands' name when they married may have trouble proving their identity satisfactorily to register to vote.

So...you shouldn't travel and it's at least a hassle if not downright impossible for some perfectly legal residents to vote.

The thing about totalitarianism and a police state is that they evolve gradually. Anyone sounding the alarm early, when the remedy would be fairly easy to apply through educated voters saying that We the People do not approve comes across like a paranoid weirdo. Sometimes, even the first victims don't identify the full extent of the danger. They focus on their own individual plight without seeing the broader systemic implications. 

We got broader systemic implications, people. You're probably fine. But you have no control over that. If you get caught in the machinery, you could end up in a cold cell while the government that could demand your release just shrugs, because you don't really matter to them, and never did.

Tuesday, April 08, 2025

It will always be an emergency with Trump

 Over the years, the US presidency has accumulated more and more emergency powers. The overarching law we have heard about recently is the Insurrection Act, which originated with legislation passed in 1792, and evolved through 1871, according to an article on the website of the Brennan Center for Justice. But further presidential autonomy seems to collect naturally during any national crisis. The most recent massive infusion followed the national bowel-watering panic induced by the terrorist attacks on 9-11-2001.

Humans are simple-minded creatures. I say this as a human. It's easy to fall into the idea that the President is the most powerful official in the country. In fact, as the Constitution is written, Congress is the dominant branch. Wonder why government seems to be such an unproductive mess? We were literally designed to be run by committee -- a really big committee, gathered from a wide and varied nation where the voters know very little about how their fellow citizens live in other parts of it.

As a result of the time lag in Congress to negotiate actions, and the natural human tendency to identify a single leader, even Supreme Court justices fall into the belief that the power of the President should be absolute.

Enter the con man, mob boss, silver spoon baby grown into a massively self-centered adult-size body with a 12-year-old's understanding of history. And the Supreme Court has made him untouchable. His word is law, sort of. He spews out executive orders like royal decrees, and his Congress does not challenge him. Some of them are now, because he finally did something that might make the rich poorer, but even that effort faces headwinds from MAGA faithful and jelly-kneed Republicans who still think that facing a primary challenge is the worst thing that can happen to them.

Trump is himself an emergency. His election was quite possibly a mortal wound to this country. We won't know for a little while yet. According to a post I saw yesterday on social media, he will probably invoke the Insurrection Act on April 20, giving himself the power to use the US military against US citizens on home soil. The lengthy post laid out the dire consequences of this action. Basically, get ready for a lot of arrests and show trials of high profile Trump opponents, a clamp down on all forms of journalism, immediate harsh restrictions on free expression, and the roundup of millions of uncooperative people. Protests will be infiltrated by impostors who will initiate violence, justifying violent response by the activated military forces. Lots of people will disappear. All of those mean-looking people who march with swastika flags will suddenly be deputized to bust heads officially.

In other words, we will undergo a parallel to the first days of Hitler's power, followed by a climate of forced agreement maintained by deadly force. Execution for treason will be common, and swiftly administered. Treason means any criticism of the regime.

Authoritarians depend on official violence and the fear of it to compel citizens to obey. The loudmouths with the AR-15s and tactical gear who have been braying about tyranny will do nothing to fight it now, because they never really wanted liberty for all, only for their own narrow beliefs. They don't believe in freedom. They believe that might makes right. So they will make up the citizen militias that energetically crush the liberty of anyone who strays from the permitted roles and behaviors of the dictatorship.

Trump's arrival in the Oval Office for his second grab at the wealth of the country guaranteed a cascade of emergencies. He overlooks most of them, because they're hitting little people. No reason to skip a grotesque party at Maga Lardo or miss a round of golf because some peasants just suffered tornado damage or flooding. The increasing negative emotions in the country give him more power, because so many people have been so well trained to blame the wrong actors for their troubles. Their emergencies set the stage for whatever event the administration chooses as the excuse to unleash the full power of government sanctioned violence against its own citizens.

Trump is just a symptom and a tool of two major promoters of authoritarian government: theocracy and technocracy. The Christian nationalists want boys to be boys and girls to be girls who grow up to be men and women who understand their places under a God whose words and motives vary at the convenience of whoever is in charge at the time. The technocrats think that the world should be run by emotionless people who aspire to be machines. Both groups have a central idea of what our human purpose should be. Neither of them think that it's "to have fun."

When Jimmy Carter called for nationwide introspection at the end of the 1970s, he was just repeating the age-old human question: Why are we here? Humans used to fight over territory and resources. That period merged with the long spell in which we fought over ideas. Those ideas usually hinged on who should control territory and resources in the name of what god or philosophy. Most people seem to prefer the periods between conflicts, but a percentage of humans enjoys war, destruction, cruelty, torture, and killing. There may be a majority opinion, but there is no universal standard. The violent minority -- known by their passionate embrace of firearms -- has long railed against democracy, because they each only have one vote but they have 30 rounds in the magazine. No fair!

The same social media post warning about Trump invoking the Insurrection Act on April 20 said that Project 2025 had called for invoking it on the first day of his term. Many of us expected something like that. Reality seldom follows the script exactly. It was better politics for the administration to bumble and stumble toward a full crackdown. It looks more organic that way, less plotted. He doesn't have to satisfy voters to win reelection, but he does have an easier time if the population believes that "he's only doing what he has to do to protect us." He's promoting the general welfare and providing for the common defense. His Secretary of Defense and Secretary of Homeland Security will attest to that. Coincidentally, they're both on the advisory panel who will recommend for or against invoking that Insurrection Act.

If your vision of humanity's future is a soft-focused, congenial anarchy in which we're each free to be whatever benign thing we want to be, understand that even that will need some organization like the government institutions that we had, to assure that needs are met. The mob currently in power stands for the exact opposite. Their view is regimented, narrow, and not afraid to hurt you. They will do that with or without something as drastic as the Insurrection Act.

Sunday, April 06, 2025

Big country, Big Business, bad news

Come along on a quick, blurry drone flight over the history of journalism in America. This comes to mind now as I see complaints online that the mainstream media are not covering the massive protests today against the Republican administration

When the First Amendment established freedom of the press, the entire country didn't even take up the entire east coast of what we call the United States today.

 Newspaper circulation was limited to a small radius around the point of publication. Editors and publishers felt no obligation to be neutral, but the low startup cost meant that multiple papers could cover a heavily populated area. Advertiser-supported funding didn't threaten to warp coverage, because advertisers were already sympathetic to the paper's editorial stance or they could be replaced if they objected to content and took their business elsewhere.

As the country grew, so did the influence of major publications. As controversies grew heated, sometimes a newspaper publisher would be murdered and their offices destroyed, but the general business model managed to survive. That tended to happen in smaller market areas, so it didn't disrupt the industry as a whole.

By the end of the 19th Century, newspapers wielded massive power. This held up all the way to the late 20th Century. Television pulled some revenue and had greater impact on the senses, because of moving pictures and audio, but broadcast presentations couldn't go into the depth of analysis that print articles could. And newspapers were always on. A newspaper could pass from hand to hand for hours or days.

The influence of the written word on anyone who can read retains its impact as it goes from a breaking story to old news to history. The impact may vary at each of those stages, but it can actually increase at the history stage, as unfolding events after it was new give it more significance. Video  -- especially if the broadcaster opts not to archive it -- only lives for as long as it takes to perform it. It's much harder to review in sections, too. Reread this paragraph a few times and compare it to rewinding a video to exactly the right spot over and over.

Whatever the medium, news outlets seemed to prize their position as a foil to the government. They might not be opposed, but they represented the critical, independent observer. The people had a right to know, and journalists had a Constitutionally protected role in providing that knowledge.

Prosperity makes life more expensive. Subsistence is a basic equation: get enough food and find sufficient shelter to survive whatever conditions nature is throwing at you. Once subsistence is assured, the human mind starts looking for something else to do. This cave is damp, this hut is leaky. The trail to the next village could be a little smoother. Speaking of the next village, those smug bastards have some pretty nice farm land, and they don't look so tough... Next thing you know, you have a major civilization, where basic shelter costs you more than you can scrape up from this thing you have now called a job.

Running a business, especially a news business, in a prosperous, civilized country takes a lot more money than it did in the 18th and at least the first half of the 19th centuries. At the same time, multiple factors have reduced Americans' ability and willingness to read. I have no solid statistics on it because I can't be bothered to look them up, but the dominant forms of Internet content certainly seem to be video based, while television news and news-imitating programs dominate in forming public opinion. Blogs of the early 2000s gave way quickly to video blogs and now to quick hits like TikTok.

The internet supports small content providers, but they rent their space from the large (or huge) corporations that own the actual hosting sites. Huge corporations, meanwhile, blast out their content directly over online and broadcast channels. Newspapers put content online, constrained then by the space limitations and intrusive ad formats of those spaces, losing all of the advantages of paper publication. I live beyond the reach of any major newspaper, so I haven't seen an actual paper paper in years. But I can subscribe to the web versions of major papers all over the world. Or I could if I could afford it.

News has always been curated. "All the news that's fit to print" reflects the editors' opinion of what's fit to print. When I worked for a small weekly paper I joked that our motto was "all the news that fits." The "news hole" is what's left on the page after that edition's ads are blocked in. The size of your news space is determined by your ad revenue. That revenue also has to pay the rest of the newspaper's overhead.

Advertisers generally don't care about the news. They care about whether a publication or broadcast outlet can deliver their message to a lot of eyeballs. If enough people aren't reading stuff on paper, it doesn't matter that the paper medium was much better at presenting detailed information. Detailed information is no longer reliable bait for enough people to reward the advertisers' investment.

Advertisers do care about news-imitating content that will stimulate desirable buying or voting behavior. It doesn't have to be true. That's not just a sad truth about human susceptibility to gossip, it's legally true since the 1980s, when the Republican administration got rid of the Fairness Doctrine, which required genuine balance in presenting controversial topics on broadcast media, and made hysterical exaggeration more difficult. "Free speech" advocates said that this stifled free expression -- i.e lying -- and demanded its removal. The conservative administration knew a good thing when they saw it, realizing that their positions never polled well when presented in a non-partisan way. So down went the Fairness Doctrine and up went Fox News and talk radio.

Broadcast news had an advantage over print in reaching rural areas, which was later boosted significantly by cable television. Small local newspapers could only reach so far and cover so much. Big papers would mail out to anyone willing to pay, but news wasn't fresh when it arrived. The simple beliefs and perceived wisdom of rural populations living closer to basic subsistence is no more valid than the opinions of city dwellers who have lived for generations cut off from firsthand contact with agriculture. These demographics, isolated from each other, shared some similar receptiveness to misleading content, albeit from opposite gaps in their lived experiences.

Fox disguised their right wing goals by hosting liberal entertainment content, but their "news" department has now evolved into a blatant megaphone for authoritarianism. The corporation plays hardball with cable providers, which raises fees for cable subscribers and forces Fox onto basic cable lineups with no opt out.

As corporate consolidation has cut down the number of corporations that fund broadcast outlets, the natural inclination of capitalism toward authoritarianism shapes the content that you are allowed to see. Similar pressures fall on print media, with the Wall Street Journal, for instance, owned by the same corporation that owns Fox. And of course Jeff Bezos, lovable potentate of Amazon, drew a lot of attention to his ownership of the venerable Washington Post when he kneecapped their editorial integrity before the 2024 election.

Gone are the days when you could pick up a newspaper with a reasonable expectation that you would find bland, boring, but factual content about issues of importance. Fans of the new dispersed media model of independent journalists all over the internet will say that even then you couldn't trust that the big paper wasn't burying something that the ownership didn't want the common folk to know. But now you can't trust that the valiant independent muckraker of your choice isn't blatantly making shit up or hiding facts just as much as the big corporations are. You may have more options for fact checking your fact checkers, but you have to put in the time and find the sources to do so.

If Daniel Ellsberg sent his bombshell information to the New York Times today, they'd rat him out to the government in seconds. Either that or the reporters who received the information would sit on it until they could put out a lucrative book a year or two later. Prove me wrong, Gray Lady. But finding a replacement media channel that we all can share is impossible. When there were three broadcast networks and a handful of major newspapers, we all argued from the same fact sheet. Now the political discussion has to weed through all of the relevant information and dismiss influence operations and insane conspiracy theories every damn day.

I don't present news here. I just present emotional support. And dismissive insults as appropriate, but that's emotionally supportive to people who share my point of view. Good luck out there!